As the weather ever-so-slightly heats up, inflation cools. Inflation came in lower than expected in April, rising 2.3% on an annual basis, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. FactSet economists anticipated CPI would climb slightly before settling at 2.4% for April, CNN reported. Instead, the annual inflation rate of 2.3% marks the lowest rate since February 2021. The unexpectedly bright reading is good news for the Federal Reserve as it continues its fight to rein in inflation to its goal of 2%. Don’t get too excited, though. Economists think this inflation reading, which is the first to capture uncertainty caused by tariff announcements, is likely the last of its kind for some time. “This may be the low point (for CPI) in 2025,” Ben Ayers, a Nationwide senior economist, said in a note to investors, per CNN. “As tariff costs increasingly flow into consumer prices, we expect a jump in the CPI this summer, pushing the annual reading back above 3%. Correspondingly, economic growth should be soft over the rest of the year as higher prices and economic concerns weigh on spending activity.” As Trump flip-flopped on tariff policies, most recently with a 90-day pause on tariffs between the US and China, many companies front-loaded inventory in an attempt to get ahead of potential price increases, meaning consumers haven’t necessarily had to carry the burden of tariffs just yet. Keep reading here.—NP |