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Hiring freeze
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CFO Brew // Morning Brew // Update
Consumers are worried about finding jobs.
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Hello, and welcome to Thursday. We know it’s tough out there, as the jobs picture has started to look shakier recently and hiring slows. Hang in there, everyone, no matter what your situation is, and know that we’re rooting for you! 🪧

In this issue:

Feeling jittery

Revised down

Connecting the dots

Drew Adamek, Courtney Vien, Natasha Piñon, Jesse Klein

CONSUMERS

Now Hiring sign with piece of tape over "now" with "not" written on it.

Morning Brew Design

Americans are feeling anxious about their ability to find new jobs. (And really, can you blame them?)

Data from the New York Fed’s August Survey of Consumer Expectations shows that US consumers felt less confidence about their ability to find a job than at any point in the past 12 years. The survey, which polls around 1,300 heads of households on a monthly basis, found that respondents gave themselves only a 44.9% chance, on average, of landing a new job within three months should they lose one.

That’s the lowest percentage since the Consumer Expectations Survey started asking about job searches in June 2013. The drop, the New York Fed wrote in a press release, “was broad-based across age, education, and income groups,” but was largest among respondents with a high-school education or less.

Consumers also believed gas and food prices are on the rise this year. In December 2024, they predicted that gas prices would increase by 2% in the next 12 months. In both July and August of this year, they estimated gas prices would jump by 3.9%. Respondents estimated food price inflation of 4% in December 2024. For the past four months, they’ve forecast it at 5.5%.

For more on consumer pessimism, click here.CV

Presented By Hyland

TALENT MANAGEMENT

Tariffs layoffs

Cagkansayin/Getty Images

No one likes it when a teacher pulls out a red pen. Revisions are rarely fun. And with recent revisions to jobs numbers, we have a feeling the Bureau of Labor Statistics isn’t a fan of the red pen either.

The US economy added jobs at a much slower clip than initially reported in 2024 and early 2025, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday, fueling concerns that the once seemingly sturdy job market has harbored deeper cracks than we previously realized.

Annual revisions to payroll data demonstrated a 911,000 drop from previous estimates. That’s a decrease of over 50% from the 1.79 million total jobs the BLS previously reported.

The leisure and hospitality sector was especially hard-hit by the revisions, subtracting 176,000 jobs from initial estimates. Professional and business services, as well as retail, were also revised down significantly. Ultimately, most sectors, with the exception of transportation, warehousing, and utilities, were downwardly revised.

The corrections arrive as part of the BLS’s annual benchmark review of jobs numbers. The BLS historically updates the figures using more comprehensive data from state unemployment tax filings, which take longer than the business surveys it initially uses for jobs numbers.

How many jobs are there, really?NP

CFOS

Bonnie Castle, CFO of SBS, on an abstract background.

Bonnie Castle

Most people barely notice the power lines that stretch above them. But for some, it’s their job to observe, plan, and build the infrastructure connecting the electrical grid. And as the country moves to electrify everything from cars to bikes, that job is only getting more important.

Bonnie Castle is the CFO of SBS, a design software platform for the utility industry. The company’s products help engineers design the power lines that connect to electrical substations. The platform enables a project developer to make plans for running lines through high wildfire risk areas, lays out when power lines can run underground vs. overhead, plus many more tiny nuances underlying the power grid that most people never think about.

Castle gave CFO Brew a rundown of her job and offered advice for CFOs.

This interview has been edited for clarity and length.

What’s your playbook for handling this time of uncertainty and possible recession?

We’re in an interesting space where we cater to utility companies. Whenever I think about what’s going on in the economy, the potential risk of a recession, or when Trump talks about tariffs, it actually puts us at a position of strength. That’s driven by the fact that really what’s going on is he’s encouraging everyone to invest in the US. And companies are doing that.

You’re seeing very large companies like Google and Nvidia putting significant investment in the US by building data centers, and that then drives a huge demand for power generation. And so the utility businesses are growing like crazy.

Keep reading here.JK

Together With RightRev

EVENTS

CFO Brew risky business event

Morning Brew Inc.

From Affirm and Bayer Crop Science to Pagaya, Navan, Resilience, and more, top companies will unpack how CFOs are balancing growth with compliance, tackling data privacy, and navigating regulatory change. Join CFO Brew in New York—or virtually—on Sept. 16 for a half-day event shaping tomorrow’s finance playbook. Register here.

MARKET FORCES

market forces chart

Francis Scialabba

Today’s top finance reads.

Stat: 9,000. That’s how many employees drugmaker Novo Nordisk is shedding as it falls behind in the weight loss drug market. The Ozempic maker is losing market share to competitors and look-alike products. (Wall Street Journal)

Quote: “When you think from first principles about what generative AI can do, and what jobs it can replace, it’s the kind of things that young college grads have done. They read and synthesize information and data. They produce reports and presentations.”—Harvard economist David Deming on the impact AI is having on entry level jobs in white-collar firms (The Atlantic)

Read: Finding practical use cases for AI in accounting and finance. (Financial Management)

JOBS

Skip the noise and cut to the jobs that matter. CollabWORK curates openings from top employers and shares them directly in trusted spaces like CFO Brew—click here to see the full list for readers like you.

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